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📈 Growth Curve Explorer
Default
METR Exponential
Sigmoid Hypothesis
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Exponential
Growth Rate
0.15
Initial Value
1.0
Sigmoid (Logistic)
Carrying Capacity
100
Growth Rate
0.25
Inflection Point
15
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Time Range
30
"Now" Position
20
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Exponential: y = a·e^(rt)
Sigmoid: y = K/(1+e^(-r(t-t₀)))
"Now" marker
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Based on
arXiv:2602.04836
"Are AI Capabilities Increasing Exponentially?"
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