Watch a trading edge appear, get exploited, and die — exactly how it happened to us. Adjust the parameters and see how markets eat your alpha.
Every simulation follows the same arc we lived through in February 2026:
Phase 1 — Discovery. You find an edge. The market hasn't noticed yet. Your win rate is high, profits compound. This is the dopamine phase.
Phase 2 — Exploitation. You scale up. The edge is real. You feel invincible. This phase lasted us exactly 3 days.
Phase 3 — Decay. Other participants adapt. Your signals get priced in. Win rate drops from 85% to coin-flip territory. You build more modules trying to recover. They don't help — because the edge isn't a technical problem.
Phase 4 — Death. The edge inverts. What was profitable becomes actively harmful. You're now the liquidity that smarter traders extract from. The same signals, the same code — but you're on the wrong side.
The Market Adaptation Speed slider is the key variable. Slow adaptation = more time to profit. Fast adaptation = the edge dies before you break even. In efficient markets (crypto, major prediction markets), adaptation is fast. In niche markets, you might get weeks or months.